Why they know it all
Apr 22, 2008 Medialites, Politics and Poker
Mickey Kaus quotes Chris Matthews on his Pennsylvania prediction for Hillary –
Eight points. I think eight points is the over/under. If she gets a victory of less than 8 I think shes going to have a hard time arguing that she should stay in this race. …. [S]he cant call it a victory winning five or six or seven up here. Shes got to get at least an 8.
And then, thank God, adds:
I wish I could report that he said it with a knowing, ironic appreciation for its absurd arrogance. …
Yes, and no, Mickey. Yes on the arrogance, but maybe not for the reason you think. The fact is that Matthews is 100% right: That eight points is exactly the margin of victory he, himself — and his friends in the Business — will declare to be “the one.” It is a self-fulfilling prophecy, not a prediction of some phenomenon based on an analysis of objectively observable phenomena.
And yes, yes, it is arrogant. You got a problem with that?
